Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.037584 0.043556 0.050179 0.058070 0.067222 0.077506 0.089948
2026-01-04 0.028401 0.036260 0.045854 0.058442 0.074543 0.094479 0.121091
2026-01-11 0.022880 0.031444 0.042696 0.058583 0.080487 0.109703 0.151770
2026-01-18 0.019392 0.028308 0.040745 0.059398 0.086753 0.125544 0.184998
2026-01-25 0.017034 0.026191 0.039642 0.060896 0.093773 0.142931 0.222474
2026-02-01 0.014401 0.023182 0.036683 0.059022 0.095248 0.152022 0.248419
2026-02-08 0.012617 0.021176 0.034894 0.058566 0.098647 0.164218 0.280569
2026-02-15 0.011135 0.019421 0.033220 0.057974 0.101589 0.175832 0.313056
2026-02-22 0.010157 0.018365 0.032530 0.058885 0.107089 0.192260 0.355841
2026-03-01 0.009135 0.017083 0.031267 0.058572 0.110296 0.204940 0.393393
2026-03-08 0.008082 0.015598 0.029443 0.056964 0.110847 0.212749 0.422683
2026-03-15 0.007178 0.014277 0.027751 0.055364 0.111153 0.220027 0.451728
2026-03-22 0.006684 0.013704 0.027438 0.056465 0.117008 0.238977 0.507232
2026-03-29 0.006151 0.012987 0.026755 0.056740 0.121233 0.255227 0.559486
2026-04-05 0.005664 0.012300 0.026047 0.056859 0.125126 0.271236 0.613388
2026-04-12 0.005291 0.011807 0.025679 0.057647 0.130541 0.291113 0.678545
2026-04-19 0.005010 0.011479 0.025619 0.059099 0.137601 0.315439 0.757202
2026-04-26 0.004504 0.010581 0.024200 0.057281 0.136923 0.322193 0.795294
2026-05-03 0.004153 0.009996 0.023416 0.056839 0.139416 0.336572 0.853848
2026-05-10 0.003828 0.009435 0.022619 0.056264 0.141505 0.350226 0.912447
2026-05-17 0.003625 0.009144 0.022429 0.057148 0.147317 0.373662 0.999393
2026-05-24 0.003370 0.008694 0.021798 0.056845 0.150063 0.389750 1.069193
2026-05-31 0.003071 0.008095 0.020731 0.055285 0.149329 0.396805 1.115512